Putting in the amount of detail I wanted isn't working -- it's taking too long, but I'll update things as I can.
Obama 143 confirmed 94 likely 44 possible 281 total
Romney 159 confirmed 21 likely 55 possible 235 total
Popular Vote: Romney 50-48
8:16 update
Obama 143 confirmed 94 likely 44 possible 281 total
Romney 159 confirmed 21 likely 55 possible 235 total
Popular Vote: Romney 50-48
Liveblogging Election Night 2012 6:45 Update
Romney 82 confirmed 98 likely 55 possible 235 total
Popular Vote, Per CNN: Romney 51, Obama 47
Since the last post, CNN has called the following states:
Connecticut - Obama
District of Columbia - Obama
Delaware - Obama
Georgia - Romney
Illinois - Obama
Massachusetts - Obama
Maine - Obama
Maryland - Obama
Oklahoma - Romney
Rhode Island - Obama
Tennessee - Romney
Arkansas - Romney
Alabama - Romney
SENATE RACES
Angus King (I) Wins, as was expected. He is expected to caucus with the Democrats.
HOUSE RACES
No Races on the watch list called since last post
GOVERNORS RACES
Jack Markell (D) Won reelection, as was expected.
Liveblogging Election Night 2012: 5:51 PM update
Obama: 3 confirmed 234 likely 44 possible 281 total
Romney 33 confirmed 147 likely 55 possible 235 total
Since the last post, CNN has called the following states:
South Carolina - Romney
West Virginia - Romney
SENATE RACES
No Races Called since last post
HOUSE RACES
No Races called since last post
GOVERNORS RACES
No Races called since last post
LiveBlogging Election Night 2012 5:29 Update
Obama: 3 confirmed 234 likely 44 possible 281 total
Romney 19 confirmed 161 likely 55 possible 235 total
Since the last post, CNN has called the following states:
Kentucky - Romney
Indiana-Romney
Vermont-Obama
SENATE RACES
No races have been called since the last post
HOUSE RACES
No races have been called since the last post.
GOVERNORS RACES
In Vermont, Governor Peter Shumlin (D) has won reelection, as he was expected to.
4:50 PM Electoral base map
Tonight, I'm going to be using the mapping program from RealClearPolitics to visually show the electoral numbers. The base map is as follows:
This map shows Obama potentially up 281-235, with 22 votes in the toss-up category.
Throughout the night, as state are called, I'll be coloring states darker on the map. Also, I'll give numbers this way:
Obama: 0 Confirmed, 237 likely, 44 probable, 281 total
Romney: 0 Confirmed, 180 likely, 55 possible, 235 total
Confirmed is states that they have won, likely is the darker-blue numbers, possible is the light blue.
-Bob
My 2012 Election Projection Malarkey
I may not be quite as prolific at blogging as I once was, but I though that I'd share my Election Night predictions. I post them with this caveat: In the early days of this blog, I made my predictions about election day, and Jeff Bell told me that my predictions were "a bunch of [male bovine excrement]." Or, as Vice President Biden called it during the debate, Malarkey.
So, here's my pile of malarkey for today. Keep in mind that I would love to be wrong on a few of these:
Federal:
Obama/Biden 281 electoral votes. I admit, this is probably a little low, but I don't want to feel overconfident. Before today, i thought that Romney might win the popular vote, but now I have a gut feeling that Obama will pull out a narrow victory here, too. Under 1.5%.
The Democrats will hang on to the Senate 52-48. The House will remain in GOP hands.
Utah
Romney will get 72% of the vote here in Utah and win every county. Herbert and Hatch will win reelection with 62%.
Mia Love will be Representative Love by 2 points.
Utah Democrats will be further in the minority in the Legislature, losing 1 Senate seat and 1 House seat.
Ben McAdams will be Mayor McAdams by 2 points as well.
Millcreek will become a city.
Am I wrong? Probably, but the only way to see is to watch the results tonight. I've got 160 national races and a dozen or so local races to follow, and I'm live-blogging the results from the time the first polls close at 5 PM until the Utah Democratic Party kicks me out of the Sheraton Hotel. Follow on the blog, or I'll be posting links on Twitter and Facebook (with some additional coverage on these platforms).
What races are you interested in?
So, here's my pile of malarkey for today. Keep in mind that I would love to be wrong on a few of these:
Federal:
Obama/Biden 281 electoral votes. I admit, this is probably a little low, but I don't want to feel overconfident. Before today, i thought that Romney might win the popular vote, but now I have a gut feeling that Obama will pull out a narrow victory here, too. Under 1.5%.
The Democrats will hang on to the Senate 52-48. The House will remain in GOP hands.
Utah
Romney will get 72% of the vote here in Utah and win every county. Herbert and Hatch will win reelection with 62%.
Mia Love will be Representative Love by 2 points.
Utah Democrats will be further in the minority in the Legislature, losing 1 Senate seat and 1 House seat.
Ben McAdams will be Mayor McAdams by 2 points as well.
Millcreek will become a city.
Am I wrong? Probably, but the only way to see is to watch the results tonight. I've got 160 national races and a dozen or so local races to follow, and I'm live-blogging the results from the time the first polls close at 5 PM until the Utah Democratic Party kicks me out of the Sheraton Hotel. Follow on the blog, or I'll be posting links on Twitter and Facebook (with some additional coverage on these platforms).
What races are you interested in?
Republican Desperation in Salt Lake County
Look what I found driving in Holladay today:
Not only is this sign illegally placed, but it's also highly illegal as it has no indication of who paid for the signs.
Not only that, but it also smacks of desperation. Doesn't exactly sound like a campaign that's up 10 points, does it? (More on that in another post.)
In fact, it really is sad that the only thing Mark Crockett can campaign on is how "liberal" Ben McAdams is. I've gotten two mailers from Crockett the past few days telling me this.
Not only is the sign illegal and the campaign tactic desperate, but it's a flat out lie. Find me one person who honestly thinks Ben McAdams is as liberal as Rocky Anderson. In fact, I'd be willing to be that both men would scoff at the notion.
Anyway, however liberal Ben McAdams may be, he is willing to bring all sides together to find a common ground. The world of politics needs more Ben McAdamses. Salt Lake County needs Ben McAdams.
Not only is this sign illegally placed, but it's also highly illegal as it has no indication of who paid for the signs.
Not only that, but it also smacks of desperation. Doesn't exactly sound like a campaign that's up 10 points, does it? (More on that in another post.)
In fact, it really is sad that the only thing Mark Crockett can campaign on is how "liberal" Ben McAdams is. I've gotten two mailers from Crockett the past few days telling me this.
Not only is the sign illegal and the campaign tactic desperate, but it's a flat out lie. Find me one person who honestly thinks Ben McAdams is as liberal as Rocky Anderson. In fact, I'd be willing to be that both men would scoff at the notion.
Anyway, however liberal Ben McAdams may be, he is willing to bring all sides together to find a common ground. The world of politics needs more Ben McAdamses. Salt Lake County needs Ben McAdams.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
