Liveblogging Election Night 2012 6:45 Update

Obama: 64 confirmed 173 likely 44 possible 281 total
Romney 82 confirmed 98 likely 55 possible 235 total

Popular Vote, Per CNN: Romney 51, Obama 47

Since the last post, CNN has called the following states:
Connecticut - Obama
District of Columbia - Obama
Delaware - Obama
Georgia - Romney
Illinois - Obama
Massachusetts - Obama
Maine - Obama
Maryland - Obama
Oklahoma - Romney
Rhode Island - Obama
Tennessee - Romney
Arkansas - Romney
Alabama - Romney

SENATE RACES
Angus King (I) Wins, as was expected.  He is expected to caucus with the Democrats.

HOUSE RACES
No Races on the watch list called since last post

GOVERNORS RACES
Jack Markell (D) Won reelection, as was expected.

4:50 PM Electoral base map

Tonight, I'm going to be using the mapping program from RealClearPolitics to visually show the electoral numbers.  The base map is as follows:

This map shows Obama potentially up 281-235, with 22 votes in the toss-up category.

Throughout the night, as state are called, I'll be coloring states darker on the map.  Also, I'll give numbers this way:

Obama: 0 Confirmed, 237 likely, 44 probable, 281 total

Romney: 0 Confirmed, 180 likely, 55 possible, 235 total

Confirmed is states that they have won, likely is the darker-blue numbers, possible is the light blue.

-Bob

My 2012 Election Projection Malarkey

I may not be quite as prolific at blogging as I once was, but I though that I'd share my Election Night predictions.  I post them with this caveat:  In the early days of this blog, I made my predictions about election day, and Jeff Bell told me that my predictions were "a bunch of [male bovine excrement]."  Or, as Vice President Biden called it during the debate, Malarkey.

So, here's my pile of malarkey for today. Keep in mind that I would love to be wrong on a few of these:

Federal:
Obama/Biden 281 electoral votes.  I admit, this is probably a little low, but I don't want to feel overconfident.  Before today, i thought that Romney might win the popular vote, but now I have a gut feeling that Obama will pull out a narrow victory here, too.  Under 1.5%.

The Democrats will hang on to the Senate 52-48.  The House will remain in GOP hands.

Utah

Romney will get 72% of the vote here in Utah and win every county.  Herbert and Hatch will win reelection with 62%.

Mia Love will be Representative Love by 2 points.

Utah Democrats will be further in the minority in the Legislature, losing 1 Senate seat and 1 House seat.

Ben McAdams will be Mayor McAdams by 2 points as well.

Millcreek will become a city.

Am I wrong?  Probably, but the only way to see is to watch the results tonight.  I've got 160 national races and a dozen or so local races to follow, and I'm live-blogging the results from the time the first polls close at 5 PM until the Utah Democratic Party kicks me out of the Sheraton Hotel.  Follow on the blog, or I'll be posting links on Twitter and Facebook (with some additional coverage on these platforms).

What races are you interested in?